It is election time again, that special day once every so often when Dagenites turn out in their droves (~40% of those elegible to vote) to cast their vote and get a Labour MP regardless…
So this year we have a choice of:
Lawrence Rustem …. British National Party
James Kempton …. Liberal Democrats
Gerard Batten …. UK Independence Party, The
Jonathan Cruddas …. Labour Party, The
Michael White …. Conservative Party, The
Of these, only Michael White and Jonathan Cruddas are returning candidates. The others all being first time candidates in Dagenham.
Based on the previous election results it is a fair bet that we’ll get Cruddas again as MP with White training along on somewhere between 20 and 40% of the vote and Kempton in 3rd place with roughly half the votes that White will get. The BNP and UKIP will be lost in the statistical noise.
The only canditate I’ve seen out compaigning is Gerard Batten for UKIP. Standing outside Heathway station handing out leaflets. Batten is so far the only politician that has ever done me a favour; I was at the back of a long ticket queue Tuesday morning when he commanded his bagpiper to start playing. The noise drove about half the people from the queue – meaning I got served more quickly. He isn’t getting my vote though.
My predictions for the results are as follows:
Turnout 48%
Elected MP Cruddas with 53% of the vote
2nd place White with 31%
3rd place Kempton with 10%
One day we’ll get a non-Labour MP…